Sport Picks
Pelikan vs Sokol Ostroda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 
Match Events
49'
49'
Pomianowski P.
(Penalty)
55'
55'
Furman M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelikan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sokol Ostroda haven't matched Pelikan's recent run of results.
- Model gives Pelikan a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 20%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pelikan | Sokol Ostroda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 28, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Sokol Ostroda
1:1
Oct 29, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Pelikan
4:1
May 1, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Sokol Ostroda
0:0
Sep 28, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Pelikan
4:1
Jun 2, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Sokol Ostroda
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pelikan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Sokol Ostroda Compare
Top Goalscorer Furman M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pelikan 85 / 100
Sokol Ostroda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pelikan Sokol Ostroda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pelikan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sokol Ostroda let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
Pelikan's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Pelikan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pelikan VS Sokol Ostroda
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pelikan
(Home) 03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3 Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0 Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz II
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
23 Aug
Pelikan
1 : 1 Troszyn
15 Aug
Pelikan
2 : 1 LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 5
Sokol Ostroda
(Away) 02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
28 May
Pelikan
1 : 1 Sokol Ostroda
21 May
Jagiellonia II
3 : 1 Sokol Ostroda
06 May
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76:41 | 68 |
| 2 | Legionowo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 71:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:45 | 61 |
| 5 | Legia II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 66:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 7 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:38 | 53 |
| 8 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 83:71 | 52 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 65:54 | 49 |
| 10 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 53:55 | 45 |
| 11 | Pelikan | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Sokol Ostroda | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 49:71 | 36 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 60:76 | 35 |
| 15 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Blonianka Blonie | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Ursus Warszawa | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 42:72 | 25 |
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)
