Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pelikan vs Troszyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Gierach P.
81' Event
Wojdakowski D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Pelikan
35%
Draws
24%
Troszyn
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Troszyn have won more games recently than Pelikan.
  • Pelikan are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 19%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelikan Troszyn
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Troszyn
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelikan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gierach P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Troszyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojdakowski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelikan 76 / 100
Troszyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelikan Troszyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelikan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pelikan scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Troszyn has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Pelikan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pelikan VS Troszyn
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelikan

(Home)
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

Troszyn

(Away)
26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lodz II
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Troszyn
29 Aug
Troszyn
3 : 3
KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)