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Stadium Background

Pelister vs Besa 1976 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2024/2025 Stadion Petar Milosevski, Bitola
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Alimi A.
16'
Ivanovski M.
26' Event
Selmani R.

AI Match Summary

Besa 1976 in this 1. MFL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Besa 1976.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Pelister
15%
Draws
32%
Besa 1976
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelister

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Pelister have won more games recently than Besa 1976.
  • Model gives Pelister a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. MFL 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pelister Clean Sheet 68%
Besa 1976 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelister Besa 1976
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 1. MFL
Pelister vs Besa 1976
1:4
Feb 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Besa 1976 vs Pelister
2:0
Dec 3, 2024 1. MFL
Pelister vs Besa 1976
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 1. MFL
Besa 1976 vs Pelister
2:3
Apr 27, 2024 2. MFL
Besa 1976 vs Pelister
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelister Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarasenko Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Besa 1976 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alimi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Selmani R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelister 95 / 100
Besa 1976 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelister Besa 1976

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelister Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa 1976 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Pelister stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pelister's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Pelister VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelister

(Home)
19 Sept
Pelister
1 : 0
Ohrid
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
06 Sept
Pelister
2 : 0
Rabotnicki
02 Sept
Studenicani
1 : 6
Pelister
29 Aug
Makedonija GP
0 : 1
Pelister
Page 1 of 7

Besa 1976

(Away)
25 May
Besa 1976
0 : 2
Bashkimi
17 May
Pelister
1 : 4
Besa 1976
11 May
Besa 1976
3 : 0
Voska Sport
07 May
Tikves
1 : 0
Besa 1976
04 May
Besa 1976
2 : 1
Brera Strumica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 33 20 10 3 59:30 70
2 Sileks 33 19 10 4 57:19 67
3 Rabotnicki 33 15 11 7 38:21 56
4 Struga 33 13 12 8 41:37 51
5 Vardar 33 12 9 12 39:37 45
6 Pelister 33 10 9 14 26:38 39
7 Shkupi 33 10 8 15 47:47 38
8 Tikves 33 7 13 13 25:33 34
9 Brera Strumica 33 9 7 17 41:56 34
10 Besa 1976 33 9 6 18 34:53 33
11 KF Gostivar 33 12 12 9 36:34 21
12 Voska Sport 33 5 7 21 25:63 -5
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Main)