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Pelopas Kiatou vs Ermis Meligous - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelopas Kiatou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelopas Kiatou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pelopas Kiatou
15%
Draws
36%
Ermis Meligous
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelopas Kiatou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pelopas Kiatou lately — more wins on the board than Ermis Meligous.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ermis Meligous taking it.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Pelopas Kiatou Clean Sheet 23%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelopas Kiatou Ermis Meligous
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 0.86 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pelopas Kiatou vs Ermis Meligous
3:0
Nov 9, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Pelopas Kiatou
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelopas Kiatou 29 / 100
Ermis Meligous 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelopas Kiatou Ermis Meligous

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ermis Meligous Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ermis Meligous let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Ermis Meligous registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pelopas Kiatou found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Pelopas Kiatou VS Ermis Meligous
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelopas Kiatou

(Home)
03 Oct
Loutraki FC
2 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
27 Sept
Pelopas Kiatou
3 : 2
AE Asteras Vlachioti
08 Apr
Pyrgos
3 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
05 Apr
Pelopas Kiatou
0 : 0
Panegialios FC
01 Apr
Korinthos
1 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
Page 1 of 6

Ermis Meligous

(Away)
08 Apr
Ermis Meligous
7 : 0
Pangytheatikos
05 Apr
Panthouriakos
3 : 1
Ermis Meligous
01 Apr
Ermis Meligous
0 : 3
Panachaiki
28 Mar
Loutraki FC
1 : 0
Ermis Meligous
22 Mar
Ermis Meligous
1 : 2
Thyella Patras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)