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Pelopas Kiatou vs Korinthos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Pelopas Kiatou Logo

Pelopas Kiatou

1 - 1
FT
Korinthos Logo

Korinthos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Pelopas Kiatou and Korinthos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pelopas Kiatou
30%
Draws
47%
Korinthos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korinthos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Korinthos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Korinthos are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Korinthos here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Pelopas Kiatou Clean Sheet 14%
Korinthos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelopas Kiatou Korinthos
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.89 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Korinthos vs Pelopas Kiatou
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pelopas Kiatou vs Korinthos
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Korinthos vs Pelopas Kiatou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelopas Kiatou 23 / 100
Korinthos 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelopas Kiatou Korinthos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korinthos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korinthos let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pelopas Kiatou scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Pelopas Kiatou stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelopas Kiatou VS Korinthos
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelopas Kiatou

(Home)
27 Sept
Pelopas Kiatou
3 : 2
AE Asteras Vlachioti
08 Apr
Pyrgos
3 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
05 Apr
Pelopas Kiatou
0 : 0
Panegialios FC
01 Apr
Korinthos
1 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
28 Mar
Zakynthos
5 : 2
Pelopas Kiatou
Page 1 of 6

Korinthos

(Away)
27 Sept
Ermis Kiveriou
2 : 2
Korinthos
08 Apr
Korinthos
2 : 0
Miltiadis
05 Apr
Zakynthos
3 : 0
Korinthos
01 Apr
Korinthos
1 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
28 Mar
Korinthos
3 : 3
Pyrgos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)