Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pelopas Kiatou vs Pyrgos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Pelopas Kiatou and Pyrgos finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pyrgos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pelopas Kiatou
30%
Draws
39%
Pyrgos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pyrgos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pelopas Kiatou haven't matched Pyrgos's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pyrgos have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Pelopas Kiatou Clean Sheet 18%
Pyrgos Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelopas Kiatou Pyrgos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pyrgos vs Pelopas Kiatou
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pelopas Kiatou vs Pyrgos
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Pyrgos vs Pelopas Kiatou
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelopas Kiatou 32 / 100
Pyrgos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelopas Kiatou Pyrgos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Pelopas Kiatou found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Pyrgos has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Pelopas Kiatou stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelopas Kiatou VS Pyrgos
0.6 Goals Scored 1.25
1.4 Goals Conceded 1
60% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelopas Kiatou

(Home)
03 Oct
Loutraki FC
2 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
27 Sept
Pelopas Kiatou
3 : 2
AE Asteras Vlachioti
08 Apr
Pyrgos
3 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
05 Apr
Pelopas Kiatou
0 : 0
Panegialios FC
01 Apr
Korinthos
1 : 0
Pelopas Kiatou
Page 1 of 6

Pyrgos

(Away)
04 Oct
Pyrgos
2 : 0
Panionios
27 Sept
Ellas Syrou
0 : 0
Pyrgos
21 Sept
Pyrgos
0 : 4
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Chrisoupolis
1 : 0
Pyrgos
05 Sept
Panthrakikos
0 : 0
Pyrgos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyrgos 22 18 2 2 45:7 56
2 Zakynthos 22 16 4 2 47:11 52
3 Panegialios FC 22 15 5 2 40:15 50
4 Miltiadis 22 9 6 7 32:23 33
5 Korinthos 22 8 8 6 35:31 32
6 Pelopas Kiatou 22 9 2 11 20:32 29
7 Panthouriakos 22 7 7 8 29:25 28
8 Loutraki FC 22 8 4 10 18:18 28
9 Panachaiki 22 7 6 9 29:26 27
10 Thyella Patras 22 5 6 11 20:30 21
11 Ermis Meligous 22 2 4 16 13:40 10
12 Pangytheatikos 22 0 2 20 8:78 2
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2025/2026 (Losers stage)