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Pelotas vs Aimore

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025 Estadio Boca do Lobo, Pelotas
Sun, Nov 23, 2025
0 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tiago Pedra
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Aimore in this Copa FGF 2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Pelotas
35%
Draws
43%
Aimore
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aimore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aimore lately — more wins on the board than Pelotas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Aimore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aimore, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 20%
Aimore Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelotas Aimore
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.46 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.12 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Aimore
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Copa FGF
Pelotas vs Aimore
0:2
Nov 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Aimore vs Pelotas
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Copa FGF
Aimore vs Pelotas
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 Gaucho 2
Aimore vs Pelotas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelotas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Aimore Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Pedra
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelotas 32 / 100
Aimore 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelotas Aimore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Pelotas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pelotas scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Aimore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pelotas VS Aimore
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelotas

(Home)
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
09 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Aimore
05 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
1 : 1
Pelotas
02 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
0 : 0
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

Aimore

(Away)
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
09 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Aimore
06 Sept
Apafut
3 : 2
Aimore
01 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SC Gaucho -
TBD -
Brasil de Pelotas 4
EC Juventude 2 2
Pelotas -
TBD -
Esportivo Bento Goncalves 0
Aimore 2
Semi-finals
SC Gaucho 1
Brasil de Pelotas 2
Pelotas 2
Aimore 3
Final
Brasil de Pelotas 3
Aimore 1