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Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
0 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelotas host Brasil de Pelotas in the Gaucho 2. This one's hard to separate. Pelotas have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Brasil de Pelotas's 1.17 scored and 0.77 conceded. Past meetings favor Brasil de Pelotas slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.81 - 1.50) back Pelotas to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Pelotas
30%
Draws
58%
Brasil de Pelotas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brasil de Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Brasil de Pelotas have won more games recently than Pelotas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 16%
Brasil de Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelotas Brasil de Pelotas
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 17
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.34 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:3
Nov 2, 2025 Copa FGF
Brasil de Pelotas vs Pelotas
1:1
Mar 6, 2025 Gaucho
Brasil de Pelotas vs Pelotas
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Gaucho
Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Gaucho
Pelotas vs Brasil de Pelotas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelotas 36 / 100
Brasil de Pelotas 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelotas Brasil de Pelotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brasil de Pelotas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelotas found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Brasil de Pelotas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 51% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Pelotas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pelotas VS Brasil de Pelotas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelotas

(Home)
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 6

Brasil de Pelotas

(Away)
03 Oct
Brasil de Pelotas
0 : 0
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
27 Sept
GE Bage
4 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
GE Gloria
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
Santa Cruz RS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)