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Pelotas vs EC Juventude 2

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF 2025 Estadio Boca do Lobo, Pelotas
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cristiano
24' Event
Lucas Hulk
45' Event
Lima V.

AI Match Summary

Pelotas in this Copa FGF 2025 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pelotas
15%
Draws
0%
EC Juventude 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pelotas lately — more wins on the board than EC Juventude 2.
  • Win probability leans Pelotas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Pelotas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pelotas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 68%
EC Juventude 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelotas EC Juventude 2
Matches Played 27 21
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.27 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Copa FGF
Pelotas vs EC Juventude 2
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristiano
4 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Hulk
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14

EC Juventude 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelotas 95 / 100
EC Juventude 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelotas EC Juventude 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pelotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

EC Juventude 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Pelotas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

EC Juventude 2 let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pelotas VS EC Juventude 2
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.67
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelotas

(Home)
16 Aug
Veranopolis
2 : 0
Pelotas
13 Aug
SC Gaucho
2 : 0
Pelotas
09 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 1
GE Bage
05 Aug
Pelotas
1 : 0
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
02 Aug
Lajeadense
0 : 1
Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

EC Juventude 2

(Away)
16 Nov
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 1
EC Juventude 2
12 Nov
EC Juventude 2
1 : 2
Brasil de Pelotas
09 Nov
SC Gaucho
2 : 0
EC Juventude 2
01 Nov
EC Juventude 2
1 : 3
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
26 Oct
Pelotas
7 : 0
EC Juventude 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pelotas 7 5 1 1 19:3 16
2 SC Gaucho 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Brasil de Pelotas 7 3 4 0 16:4 13
4 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
5 Aimore 7 3 1 3 9:5 10
6 EC Juventude 2 7 1 2 4 5:16 7
7 Internacional 2 7 2 0 5 10:15 6
8 Sao Gabriel 7 0 1 6 0:30 -4
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa FGF 2025 (Play Offs)