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Pelotas vs GE Gloria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vitor Oliveira
85' Event
Joao Lenger
90' Event
Wandinho

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between Pelotas and GE Gloria finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pelotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Pelotas
35%
Draws
49%
GE Gloria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GE Gloria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • GE Gloria haven't matched Pelotas's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pelotas have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pelotas Clean Sheet 18%
GE Gloria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pelotas GE Gloria
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 10 13
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.45 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs GE Gloria
2:1
Jul 17, 2024 Gaucho 2
GE Gloria vs Pelotas
2:1
Jul 14, 2024 Gaucho 2
Pelotas vs GE Gloria
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pelotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitor Oliveira
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Lenger
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

GE Gloria Compare

Top Goalscorer Wandinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pelotas 32 / 100
GE Gloria 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pelotas GE Gloria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GE Gloria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelotas found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: GE Gloria conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Pelotas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pelotas VS GE Gloria
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pelotas

(Home)
27 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1
Pelotas
19 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
16 Sept
Apafut
2 : 1
Pelotas
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
Page 1 of 7

GE Gloria

(Away)
27 Sept
GE Gloria
1 : 1
Gramadense
23 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0
GE Gloria
19 Sept
GE Gloria
0 : 0
Brasil de Farroupilha
16 Sept
GE Gloria
3 : 3
Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol
13 Sept
GE Bage
0 : 2
GE Gloria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 15 8 6 1 21:9 30
2 Veranopolis 15 7 5 3 12:6 26
3 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 15 6 7 2 18:12 25
4 Santa Cruz RS 15 6 7 2 15:10 25
5 Apafut 15 6 6 3 20:14 24
6 Brasil de Pelotas 15 6 6 3 18:12 24
7 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 15 6 6 3 17:12 24
8 Brasil de Farroupilha 15 5 9 1 15:9 24
9 Aimore 15 5 6 4 14:14 21
10 EC Guarani 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
11 Pelotas 15 3 7 5 13:19 16
12 GE Bage 15 3 6 6 13:19 15
13 SC Gaucho 15 3 3 9 11:16 12
14 GE Gloria 15 2 6 7 12:18 12
15 Gramadense 15 1 8 6 10:19 11
16 Lajeadense 15 1 2 12 6:23 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)