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Pena Azagresa vs CD Corellano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 game between Pena Azagresa and CD Corellano finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena Azagresa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pena Azagresa
20%
Draws
44%
CD Corellano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Corellano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pena Azagresa come out ahead of CD Corellano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pena Azagresa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pena Azagresa Clean Sheet 20%
CD Corellano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Azagresa CD Corellano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Pena Azagresa
5:6
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs CD Corellano
2:1
Oct 8, 2020 Club Friendly
CD Corellano vs Pena Azagresa
1:1
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Pena Azagresa
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena Azagresa vs CD Corellano
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Azagresa 58 / 100
CD Corellano 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Azagresa CD Corellano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Azagresa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Corellano conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Pena Azagresa scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Pena Azagresa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Corellano
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Azagresa

(Home)
15 Aug
Pena Azagresa
0 : 1
Racing Rioja
06 Aug
Vianes
2 : 2
Pena Azagresa
25 Jun
Pena Azagresa
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
19 Jun
CD Corellano
5 : 6
Pena Azagresa
13 Jun
Pena Azagresa
0 : 2
Txantrea
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CD Corellano

(Away)
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 2
Ezcabarte
23 Apr
CD Beti Onak
5 : 3
CD Corellano
09 Apr
CD Corellano
2 : 1
Valle Egues
03 Apr
CD Corellano
0 : 2
Azkoyen
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
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