Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pena Azagresa vs Racing Rioja

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pena Azagresa play Racing Rioja in the Club Friendly 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pena Azagresa averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Racing Rioja averaged 1 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Pena Azagresa won 0, Racing Rioja won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 15, 2021 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Pena Azagresa and 1.24 for Racing Rioja. This points to a Racing Rioja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pena Azagresa
16%
Draws
42%
Racing Rioja
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Racing Rioja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Pena Azagresa picked up more points recently compared to Racing Rioja.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Pena Azagresa Clean Sheet 19%
Racing Rioja Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Azagresa Racing Rioja
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2021 Club Friendly
Pena Azagresa vs Racing Rioja
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Azagresa 42 / 100
Racing Rioja 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Azagresa Racing Rioja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Racing Rioja or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pena Azagresa attacking → ← attacking Racing Rioja

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Azagresa scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Racing Rioja let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Pena Azagresa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Racing Rioja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 35
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75