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Pena Balsamaiso vs Autol

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Araar Abdelouahab M.
89' Event
Gregorio D. P.
89'
John P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Pena Balsamaiso and Autol finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pena Balsamaiso
20%
Draws
80%
Autol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Autol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pena Balsamaiso haven't matched Autol's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Autol's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 18%
Autol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Balsamaiso Autol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 2
Draws 10 6
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 0.77 0.47
Goals Conceded 2.53 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Autol
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Autol
0:2
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Autol vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Araar Abdelouahab M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Autol Compare

Top Goalscorer Gregorio D. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Balsamaiso 28 / 100
Autol 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Balsamaiso Autol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Autol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Autol conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Pena Balsamaiso found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Autol's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pena Balsamaiso VS Autol
1 Goals Scored 0.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Balsamaiso

(Home)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Autol

(Away)
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Autol
0 : 0
Oyonesa
19 Apr
Pradejon
1 : 0
Autol
12 Apr
Autol
1 : 1
Anguiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)