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Pena Balsamaiso vs CCD Alberite - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Marquez J.
21'
Bellido C.
21'
Bellido C.

AI Match Summary

Pena Balsamaiso in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pena Balsamaiso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pena Balsamaiso
15%
Draws
85%
CCD Alberite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CCD Alberite

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CCD Alberite lately — more wins on the board than Pena Balsamaiso.
  • Pena Balsamaiso are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 15%
CCD Alberite Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Balsamaiso CCD Alberite
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 1 3
Draws 10 6
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.81 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:2
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CCD Alberite
7:0
Apr 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CCD Alberite
3:3
Nov 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Pena Balsamaiso
3:2
May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CCD Alberite vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

CCD Alberite Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Balsamaiso 41 / 100
CCD Alberite 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Balsamaiso CCD Alberite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CCD Alberite let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

CCD Alberite's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Pena Balsamaiso scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pena Balsamaiso VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Balsamaiso

(Home)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

CCD Alberite

(Away)
04 Oct
CCD Alberite
1 : 1
Puerto de Vega
27 Sept
Puerto de Vega
4 : 0
CCD Alberite
12 May
Varea
2 : 1
CCD Alberite
05 May
CCD Alberite
1 : 3
Haro Deportivo
01 May
Alfaro
9 : 0
CCD Alberite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 23 7 4 67:19 76
2 Alfaro 34 23 7 4 80:36 76
3 CD Calahorra B 34 20 7 7 70:34 67
4 Anguiano 34 19 8 7 69:41 65
5 Varea 34 18 7 9 59:31 61
6 Oyonesa 34 17 7 10 46:28 58
7 Casalarreina CF 34 15 10 9 57:49 55
8 CDFC La Calzada 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
9 Berceo 34 13 8 13 43:44 47
10 Arnedo 34 11 9 14 36:48 42
11 Pena Balsamaiso 34 12 6 16 51:62 42
12 Racing Rioja 34 11 6 17 37:55 39
13 River Ebro 34 10 8 16 40:50 38
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:62 33
15 Haro Deportivo 34 8 7 19 38:50 31
16 CD Tedeon 34 8 6 20 25:61 30
17 Comillas CF 34 3 15 16 38:59 24
18 CCD Alberite 34 4 5 25 37:103 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2023/2024 (Play Offs)