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Pena Balsamaiso vs CDFC La Calzada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pena Balsamaiso
15%
Draws
85%
CDFC La Calzada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CDFC La Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CDFC La Calzada lately — more wins on the board than Pena Balsamaiso.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CDFC La Calzada taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%
CDFC La Calzada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Balsamaiso CDFC La Calzada
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CDFC La Calzada
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:2
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CDFC La Calzada vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CDFC La Calzada
1:2
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CDFC La Calzada
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
CDFC La Calzada 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Balsamaiso CDFC La Calzada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDFC La Calzada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDFC La Calzada let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pena Balsamaiso scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: CDFC La Calzada has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pena Balsamaiso VS CDFC La Calzada
1.33 Goals Scored 1.13
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
83% Over 2.5 50%
83% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Balsamaiso

(Home)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
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CDFC La Calzada

(Away)
04 Oct
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 0
Comillas CF
27 Sept
Varea
1 : 0
CDFC La Calzada
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)