Sport Picks
Pena Balsamaiso vs UD Logrones B
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Hugo J.
10'
10'
Ruiz Montenegro C.
25'
25'
Martinez N.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Pena Balsamaiso and UD Logrones B finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Logrones B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Logrones B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UD Logrones B come out ahead of Pena Balsamaiso on wins alone.
- UD Logrones B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and UD Logrones B have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%
UD Logrones B Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pena Balsamaiso | UD Logrones B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 0 | 23 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 2.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.53 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 3.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs UD Logrones B
0:5
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Pena Balsamaiso
6:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Pena Balsamaiso
5:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs UD Logrones B
1:2
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs UD Logrones B
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pena Balsamaiso Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
UD Logrones B Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruiz Montenegro C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hugo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
UD Logrones B 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pena Balsamaiso UD Logrones B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Logrones B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Pena Balsamaiso scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
UD Logrones B has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.
UD Logrones B lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pena Balsamaiso VS UD Logrones B
1.13 Goals Scored 4
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pena Balsamaiso
(Home) 10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5 UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3 Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2 Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2 Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5 Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5 UD Logrones B
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2 Pradejon
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5 Haro Deportivo
29 Mar
Pena Balsamaiso
1 : 1 Villegas
15 Mar
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 0 Comillas CF
Page 1 of 3
UD Logrones B
(Away) 26 Sept
CE Manresa
0 : 1 UD Logrones B
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2 UD Logrones B
13 Sept
UD Logrones B
0 : 0 Barcelona B
06 Sept
Tudelano
0 : 0 UD Logrones B
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5 UD Logrones B
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
CE Manresa
0 : 1 UD Logrones B
20 Sept
Calamocha
3 : 2 UD Logrones B
06 Sept
Tudelano
0 : 0 UD Logrones B
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5 UD Logrones B
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2 UD Logrones B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
