Sport Picks
Pena Balsamaiso vs Villegas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Calavia J.
80'
80'
Nasif Djamal Abdou Azizi A.
89'
89'
Plaza J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villegas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pena Balsamaiso haven't matched Villegas's recent run of results.
- Villegas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%
Villegas Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pena Balsamaiso | Villegas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 0 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.53 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Villegas
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Pena Balsamaiso
3:2
May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Villegas
0:0
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs Pena Balsamaiso
0:0
Apr 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Villegas
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pena Balsamaiso Compare
Top Goalscorer Nasif Djamal Abdou Azizi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Villegas Compare
Top Goalscorer Calavia J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
Villegas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pena Balsamaiso Villegas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villegas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villegas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Villegas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Pena Balsamaiso's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Pena Balsamaiso VS Villegas
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Pena Balsamaiso
(Home) 10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5 UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3 Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2 Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2 Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5 Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5 UD Logrones B
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2 Pradejon
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5 Haro Deportivo
29 Mar
Pena Balsamaiso
1 : 1 Villegas
15 Mar
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 0 Comillas CF
Page 1 of 3
Villegas
(Away) 10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0 Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1 Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1 Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2 San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2 Villegas
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0 Villegas
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1 Villegas
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2 Villegas
29 Mar
Pena Balsamaiso
1 : 1 Villegas
15 Mar
Berceo
1 : 0 Villegas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
