Sport Picks
Pena Balsamaiso vs Yague - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 
Match Events
18'
18'
Berges A.
41'
41'
Kone O.
44'
44'
Araar Abdelouahab M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Pena Balsamaiso and Yague finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yague
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Yague carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Yague taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%
Yague Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pena Balsamaiso | Yague |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 0 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.53 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.77 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Yague
2:2
Sep 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Pena Balsamaiso
4:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Yague
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Pena Balsamaiso
1:4
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs Yague
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pena Balsamaiso Compare
Top Goalscorer Araar Abdelouahab M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zannouti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.89
Yague Compare
Top Goalscorer Berges A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kone O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.08
Avg xA / game 1.27
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
Yague 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pena Balsamaiso Yague
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yague Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Yague has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Yague lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Pena Balsamaiso scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Pena Balsamaiso VS Yague
1.29 Goals Scored 1
3.57 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pena Balsamaiso
(Home) 10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5 UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3 Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2 Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2 Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5 Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5 UD Logrones B
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2 Pradejon
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5 Haro Deportivo
29 Mar
Pena Balsamaiso
1 : 1 Villegas
15 Mar
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 0 Comillas CF
Page 1 of 3
Yague
(Away) 03 Oct
Yague
2 : 1 Cenicero
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0 Yague
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0 River Ebro
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1 Yague
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2 Berceo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Haro Deportivo
3 : 0 Yague
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1 Yague
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0 Yague
26 Apr
Comillas CF
1 : 1 Yague
12 Apr
Vianes
1 : 0 Yague
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
