Sport Picks
Pena Deportiva vs Llosetense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 
Match Events
16'
16'
Mubarak A.
90'
90'
Riveron S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llosetense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Llosetense lately — more wins on the board than Pena Deportiva.
- Model gives Llosetense a 73% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 16%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pena Deportiva | Llosetense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Llosetense
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Pena Deportiva
2:2
May 4, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Llosetense
0:0
Dec 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Pena Deportiva
1:4
Apr 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Llosetense
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pena Deportiva Compare
Top Goalscorer Mubarak A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Llosetense Compare
Top Goalscorer Riveron S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pena Deportiva 10 / 100
Llosetense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pena Deportiva Llosetense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llosetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pena Deportiva scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Llosetense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Pena Deportiva has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pena Deportiva VS Llosetense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pena Deportiva
(Home) 04 Oct
Valencia B
3 : 2 Pena Deportiva
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2 Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2 Real Murcia B
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1 Yeclano
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2 Arenas Armilla
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Manacor
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
Page 1 of 3
Llosetense
(Away) 03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1 Arenal
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3 Llosetense
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0 Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0 Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0 Sineu
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3 Llosetense
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0 Llosetense
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1 Llosetense
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1 Llosetense
11 Apr
Manacor
1 : 0 Llosetense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
