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Pena Deportiva vs Penya Arrabal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pena Deportiva in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pena Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pena Deportiva
15%
Draws
64%
Penya Arrabal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penya Arrabal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pena Deportiva have won more games recently than Penya Arrabal.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Arrabal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Deportiva Penya Arrabal
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 1
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.71 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Penya Arrabal
2:0
Oct 30, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Arrabal vs Pena Deportiva
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Deportiva 32 / 100
Penya Arrabal 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Deportiva Penya Arrabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Deportiva scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Penya Arrabal let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Penya Arrabal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pena Deportiva VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Deportiva

(Home)
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0
Pena Deportiva
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Penya Arrabal

(Away)
14 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Penya Arrabal
07 May
Penya Arrabal
3 : 1
Felanitx
01 May
CD Montuiri
4 : 2
Penya Arrabal
19 Apr
Penya Arrabal
1 : 4
UD Poblense
17 Apr
Constancia
2 : 0
Penya Arrabal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)