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Pena Deportiva vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 game between Pena Deportiva and Penya Ciutadella Esportiva finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pena Deportiva
6%
Draws
4%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pena Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pena Deportiva come out ahead of Penya Ciutadella Esportiva on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pena Deportiva a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pena Deportiva have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Deportiva Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
3:0
Oct 29, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Pena Deportiva
0:6
Apr 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
2:0
Nov 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs Pena Deportiva
1:0
Feb 7, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena Deportiva 85 / 100
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Deportiva Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Deportiva found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Pena Deportiva went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Penya Ciutadella Esportiva conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pena Deportiva VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena Deportiva

(Home)
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2
Arenas Armilla
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
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Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

(Away)
14 May
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
1 : 2
Platges de Calvia
06 May
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 0
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
29 Apr
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
0 : 0
Collerense
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 0
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
08 Apr
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
3 : 0
Campos
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B38248679:2980
2Formentera38239669:2978
3Pena Deportiva382111663:3274
4Constancia381714758:3065
5UD Poblense381614857:3062
6Alcudia381871352:3961
7Mercadal3817101149:4261
8Binissalem3816111149:3859
9CD Montuiri3815121149:4957
10Collerense381671552:5155
11El Espinar Sant Rafel3813141143:3753
12Ferriolense3811121536:4245
13Campos3810141447:5944
14Penya Ciutadella Esportiva3811101746:6143
15Esporles381172035:5640
16Rotlet Molinar389111842:7038
17Santa Catalina Atletico389101933:5237
18Platges de Calvia387141728:5535
19Soller38592432:8124
20UD Alaro384102418:5522
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)