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Pena vs CD Cantolagua

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Rodriguez I.
90' Event
Recalde J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Pena and CD Cantolagua finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pena
35%
Draws
30%
CD Cantolagua
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • CD Cantolagua haven't matched Pena's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Pena Clean Sheet 68%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena CD Cantolagua
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 3
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.73 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs CD Cantolagua
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Pena
1:4
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Pena
4:4
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs CD Cantolagua
2:2
Feb 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Pena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Recalde J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

CD Cantolagua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena 95 / 100
CD Cantolagua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena CD Cantolagua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: CD Cantolagua conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Pena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pena VS CD Cantolagua
1.75 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena

(Home)
12 Sept
CE Manresa
2 : 0
Pena
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
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CD Cantolagua

(Away)
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 May
CD Cantolagua
3 : 3
Pamplona
01 May
Cirbonero
1 : 1
CD Cantolagua
27 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 3
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)