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Pena vs Cortes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Alonso C.
42'
Cabrejas M.
59' Event
Llorca Isasa B.

AI Match Summary

Pena in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pena
30%
Draws
6%
Cortes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena lately — more wins on the board than Cortes.
  • Pena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Pena Clean Sheet 68%
Cortes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pena Cortes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Cortes
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Pena
2:1
Jun 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Pena
3:0
May 31, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Cortes
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs Cortes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Llorca Isasa B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pena 95 / 100
Cortes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pena Cortes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pena scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Cortes conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Pena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pena VS Cortes
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pena

(Home)
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
09 May
CA Artajones
1 : 2
Pena
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
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Cortes

(Away)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
18 Apr
Cortes
1 : 2
CA Artajones
12 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)