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Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penafiel U23 host Benfica U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Benfica U23 have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Penafiel U23 have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.29. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.50 - 1.25) back Benfica U23 to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Penafiel U23
30%
Draws
52%
Benfica U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Penafiel U23 haven't matched Benfica U23's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Benfica U23's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Penafiel U23 Clean Sheet 19%
Benfica U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penafiel U23 Benfica U23
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 0 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penafiel U23 24 / 100
Benfica U23 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penafiel U23 Benfica U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benfica U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Penafiel U23's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Recent resilience: Penafiel U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Benfica U23 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penafiel U23 VS Benfica U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penafiel U23

(Home)
29 Sept
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0
Penafiel U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1
Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Penafiel U23
0 : 1
Santa Clara U23
07 Sept
Braga U23
3 : 3
Penafiel U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 2

Benfica U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 3
Benfica U23
19 Sept
Benfica U23
3 : 0
Torreense U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
09 Sept
Benfica U23
0 : 1
Vizela U23
02 Sept
Benfica U23
1 : 2
Academico Viseu U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)