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Penafiel U23 vs Leixoes U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Penido M. N. L.
27' Event
Teixeira T.
(Penalty)
57'
Goncalves A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Penafiel U23
35%
Draws
32%
Leixoes U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Leixoes U23 have won more games recently than Penafiel U23.
  • Win probability leans Penafiel U23's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Penafiel U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Leixoes U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penafiel U23 Leixoes U23
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 0 7
Draws 5 11
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Penafiel U23 vs Leixoes U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penafiel U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Leixoes U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Penido M. N. L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penafiel U23 41 / 100
Leixoes U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penafiel U23 Leixoes U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penafiel U23's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Leixoes U23 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Penafiel U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penafiel U23 VS Leixoes U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penafiel U23

(Home)
29 Sept
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0
Penafiel U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1
Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Penafiel U23
0 : 1
Santa Clara U23
07 Sept
Braga U23
3 : 3
Penafiel U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 2

Leixoes U23

(Away)
28 Sept
Leixoes U23
2 : 2
Vizela U23
19 Sept
Leixoes U23
1 : 2
Famalicao U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4
Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)