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Penafiel U23 vs Santa Clara U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Luiz Otavio

AI Match Summary

Santa Clara U23 in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Clara U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Penafiel U23
35%
Draws
49%
Santa Clara U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Clara U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Penafiel U23 haven't matched Santa Clara U23's recent run of results.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Penafiel U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Santa Clara U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penafiel U23 Santa Clara U23
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 0 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Penafiel U23 vs Santa Clara U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penafiel U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santa Clara U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Otavio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penafiel U23 30 / 100
Santa Clara U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penafiel U23 Santa Clara U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Clara U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penafiel U23 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

Defensive concern: Santa Clara U23 conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Penafiel U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Penafiel U23 VS Santa Clara U23
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penafiel U23

(Home)
29 Sept
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0
Penafiel U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1
Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Penafiel U23
0 : 1
Santa Clara U23
07 Sept
Braga U23
3 : 3
Penafiel U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 2

Santa Clara U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1
Santa Clara U23
29 Sept
Santa Clara U23
2 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
22 Sept
Santa Clara U23
0 : 0
Portimonense U23
15 Sept
Penafiel U23
0 : 1
Santa Clara U23
09 Sept
Santa Clara U23
1 : 0
SC Farense U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)