Sport Picks
Penafiel vs Academico Viseu
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel 
Match Events
10'
10'
Sery J.
16'
16'
Kahraman C.
19'
19'
Alloh T.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Penafiel and Academico Viseu finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penafiel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penafiel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Academico Viseu carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Penafiel a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Academico Viseu have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 68%
Academico Viseu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penafiel | Academico Viseu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Academico Viseu
4:3
Nov 29, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs Penafiel
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs Penafiel
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Penafiel vs Academico Viseu
0:2
Feb 10, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Academico Viseu vs Penafiel
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penafiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sery J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Academico Viseu Compare
Top Goalscorer Kahraman C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Andre Clovis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penafiel 95 / 100
Academico Viseu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penafiel Academico Viseu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penafiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Penafiel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Penafiel scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Academico Viseu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Penafiel VS Academico Viseu
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Penafiel
(Home) 25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2 Dep. A Coruna
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
FC Felgueiras
1 : 2 Penafiel
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1 Academica
30 Aug
FC Porto B
0 : 3 Penafiel
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2 Dep. A Coruna
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1 Academica
23 Aug
Penafiel
2 : 0 Sporting CP B
08 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 1 Portimonense
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
Page 1 of 4
Academico Viseu
(Away) 20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Academico Viseu
12 Sept
Academico Viseu
2 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
29 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 3 FC Porto
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Academico Viseu
06 Sept
Gil Vicente
0 : 1 Academico Viseu
22 Aug
Maritimo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
09 Aug
Benfica
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
29 Jul
Celta Vigo
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
