Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Taça de Portugal 2004/2005 game between Penafiel and GD Os Nazarenos finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penafiel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Penafiel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Penafiel come out ahead of GD Os Nazarenos on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Penafiel taking it.
- Regular Taça de Portugal 2004/2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Penafiel Clean Sheet 20%
GD Os Nazarenos Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penafiel | GD Os Nazarenos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 4 |
| Wins | 10 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 27, 2004 Taça de Portugal
Penafiel vs GD Os Nazarenos
9:0
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penafiel 40 / 100
GD Os Nazarenos 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penafiel GD Os Nazarenos
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.
Penafiel scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
GD Os Nazarenos let in goals in 50% of their last 4 matches.
Recent resilience: Penafiel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Penafiel VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Benfica-
TBD-
FC Felgueiras1
Oriental2
Anadia3
FC Lixa1
CD Torres Novas1
AD Oliveirense4
FC Pampilhosa3
Penalva do Castelo1
SB Castelo Branco1
Fatima2
Naval3
Cerveira0
TBD-
Sporting CP-
SC Espinho-
TBD-
TBD-
AC Almada-
Malveira-
TBD-
TBD-
Santa Clara-
Pacos Ferreira-
TBD-
TBD-
SC Angrense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beira Mar-
BSAD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Imortal1
Casa Pia0
Famalicao1
SC Pombal2
Leca3
Esmoriz1
Aljustrelense1
FC Canedo3
Estrela Calheta2
Infesta0
Varzim0
Pinhalnovense2
Penafiel-
TBD-
SC Salgueiros0
GD Os Nazarenos1
UD Rio Maior4
UC Idanhense3
Torre De Moncorvo0
FC Maia Lidador1
Louletano4
Lusitano VRSA2
Feirense2
Leixoes4
Estoril-
TBD-
UD Ovarense0
Estrela da Amadora1
Boavista-
TBD-
Abrantes0
Alverca1
Oliveirense4
Santana2
FC Vialonga1
SC Vianense3
Leiria-
TBD-
Olivais e Moscavide2
FC Madalena5
Aves4
Portimonense1
TBD-
Nacional-
Academica-
TBD-
FC Souropires1
Almancilense3
Chaves4
Amora0
TBD-
Rio Ave-
Fiaes2
Camacha1
Caldas SC1
Sintrense3
Real SC4
Torreense3
TBD-
Maritimo-
Braga-
TBD-
Olhanense1
AD Lousada2
Gil Vicente-
TBD-
Trofense0
Odivelas FC1
Moreirense-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Marco-
Sanjoanense3
Dragoes Sandinenses1
Juv. Evora2
Oliveira Hospital4
Vitoria Guimaraes-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Porto-
Valdevez-
TBD-
Gondomar1
Aliados Lordelo2
Academico Viseu2
Covilha1
TBD-
Merelinense-
Pedras Rubras2
U. Madeira1
TBD-
Vitoria Setubal-
1/32-finals
Benfica3
Oriental1
Anadia0
AD Oliveirense1
FC Pampilhosa2
Fatima1
Naval1
Sporting CP3
SC Espinho3
AC Almada1
Malveira1
Santa Clara2
Pacos Ferreira2
SC Angrense1
TBD-
Beira Mar-
BSAD-
TBD-
Imortal1
SC Pombal2
Leca1
FC Canedo0
Estrela Calheta0
Pinhalnovense2
Penafiel9
GD Os Nazarenos0
UD Rio Maior1
FC Maia Lidador3
Louletano2
Leixoes1
Estoril0
Estrela da Amadora1
Boavista1
Alverca0
Oliveirense2
SC Vianense4
Leiria4
FC Madalena3
Aves1
Nacional2
Academica3
Almancilense0
Chaves0
Rio Ave2
Fiaes3
Sintrense1
Real SC0
Maritimo5
Braga2
AD Lousada0
Gil Vicente1
Odivelas FC2
Moreirense4
FC Marco1
Sanjoanense1
Oliveira Hospital3
Vitoria Guimaraes2
FC Porto1
Valdevez0
Aliados Lordelo1
Academico Viseu4
Merelinense0
Pedras Rubras0
Vitoria Setubal2
1/16-finals
Benfica4
AD Oliveirense1
FC Pampilhosa1
Sporting CP4
SC Espinho1
Santa Clara0
Pacos Ferreira1
Beira Mar2
BSAD3
SC Pombal0
Leca0
Pinhalnovense3
Penafiel3
FC Maia Lidador2
Louletano0
Estrela da Amadora1
Boavista3
SC Vianense1
Leiria1
Nacional2
Academica2
Rio Ave0
Fiaes1
Maritimo4
Braga2
Odivelas FC1
Moreirense1
Oliveira Hospital2
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Aliados Lordelo0
Academico Viseu1
Vitoria Setubal3
1/8-finals
Benfica4
Sporting CP3
SC Espinho5
Beira Mar6
BSAD2
Pinhalnovense1
Penafiel0
Estrela da Amadora1
Boavista4
Nacional3
Academica1
Maritimo2
Braga1
Oliveira Hospital0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Vitoria Setubal3
Quarter-finals
Benfica1
Beira Mar0
BSAD0
Estrela da Amadora1
Boavista2
Maritimo0
Braga2
Vitoria Setubal3
Semi-finals
Benfica3
Estrela da Amadora0
Boavista1
Vitoria Setubal2
Final
Benfica1
Vitoria Setubal2