Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019

Penalva do Castelo

1 - 5

Amarante FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Amarante FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amarante FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Penalva do Castelo

Draws

90%

Amarante FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Amarante FC have won more games recently than Penalva do Castelo.
Model gives Amarante FC a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Amarante FC have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Penalva do Castelo Clean Sheet 20%

Amarante FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penalva do Castelo	Amarante FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	18
Draws	7	7
Losses	18	5
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Penalva do Castelo vs Amarante FC

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

1:5

Nov 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Amarante FC vs Penalva do Castelo

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Sep 25, 2016 Taça de Portugal

Penalva do Castelo vs Amarante FC

Possession: 48% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penalva do Castelo 10 / 100

Amarante FC 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penalva do Castelo Amarante FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Penalva do Castelo's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Amarante FC let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Penalva do Castelo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amarante FC

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 0.5

0% Over 1.5 38%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Espinho	34	20	9	5	52:20	69
2	Lusitania FC	34	19	12	3	52:27	69
3	Gondomar	34	18	10	6	50:22	64
4	Agueda	34	16	12	6	43:26	60
5	Lusitano FCV	34	17	8	9	59:28	59
6	Sanjoanense	34	15	10	9	44:34	55
7	Amarante FC	34	15	9	10	45:28	54
8	Coimbroes	34	13	10	11	43:39	49
9	Maritimo B	34	12	13	9	53:40	49
10	Paredes	34	13	7	14	42:33	46
11	U. Madeira	34	12	8	14	28:35	44
12	Leca	34	12	7	15	34:41	43
13	Pedras Rubras	34	9	15	10	36:43	42
14	Cinfaes	34	11	8	15	33:40	41
15	Gafanha	34	11	4	19	46:69	37
16	Penalva do Castelo	34	7	7	20	27:66	28
17	FC Cesarense	34	4	13	17	37:55	25
18	Meda	34	0	2	32	21:99	2