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Penapolense vs Inter de Bebedouro

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
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Match Events

14'
Matheus Saldanha

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Penapolense
35%
Draws
31%
Inter de Bebedouro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Inter de Bebedouro have won more games recently than Penapolense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Penapolense Clean Sheet 21%
Inter de Bebedouro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penapolense Inter de Bebedouro
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 13 11
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense
1:1
May 6, 2026 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Inter de Bebedouro
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Inter de Bebedouro
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense
1:1
Jun 5, 2022 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penapolense 37 / 100
Inter de Bebedouro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penapolense Inter de Bebedouro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter de Bebedouro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Penapolense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Penapolense found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Inter de Bebedouro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penapolense VS Inter de Bebedouro
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penapolense

(Home)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1
Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
Page 1 of 6

Inter de Bebedouro

(Away)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
18 Apr
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 0
Lemense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)