Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Luan Carioca
(Penalty)
55'
55'
Luan Carioca
78'
78'
Kadu Barone
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Inter de Bebedouro come out ahead of Penapolense on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Inter de Bebedouro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Penapolense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Penapolense Clean Sheet 21%
Inter de Bebedouro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penapolense | Inter de Bebedouro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 13 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense
1:1
May 6, 2026 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Inter de Bebedouro
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Inter de Bebedouro
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense
1:1
Jun 5, 2022 Paulista A4
Inter de Bebedouro vs Penapolense
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penapolense Compare
Top Goalscorer Luan Carioca
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Inter de Bebedouro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penapolense 37 / 100
Inter de Bebedouro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penapolense Inter de Bebedouro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Inter de Bebedouro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Penapolense went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Penapolense scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Inter de Bebedouro let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Penapolense VS Inter de Bebedouro
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Penapolense
(Home) 09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1 Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1 Inter de Bebedouro
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2 Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1 Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2 Taquaritinga
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1 Inter de Bebedouro
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1 Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2 Taquaritinga
28 Mar
Penapolense
6 : 0 AEA Aracatuba
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1 Barretos EC
Page 1 of 3
Inter de Bebedouro
(Away) 09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1 Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1 Inter de Bebedouro
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1 Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3 Inter de Bebedouro
18 Apr
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 0 Lemense
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1 Inter de Bebedouro
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3 Inter de Bebedouro
11 Apr
Lemense
0 : 2 Inter de Bebedouro
04 Apr
Nacional SP
0 : 1 Inter de Bebedouro
25 Mar
Comercial
1 : 0 Inter de Bebedouro
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Lemense 0
Sao-Carlense 2
Barretos EC 1
Sao Caetano 1
Jacarei FC 0
Penapolense 3
Taquaritinga 3
Semi-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Sao-Carlense 2
Sao Caetano 3
Penapolense 4
Final
Inter de Bebedouro 2
Penapolense 3
