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Penarol U20 vs Boca Juniors U20

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2023 Estadio La Portada, La Serena
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Benitez M.
90'
De Ritis M.

AI Match Summary

Boca Juniors U20 in this Copa Libertadores U20 2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Penarol U20
15%
Draws
45%
Boca Juniors U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boca Juniors U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Penarol U20 haven't matched Boca Juniors U20's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Boca Juniors U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Boca Juniors U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Penarol U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Boca Juniors U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol U20 Boca Juniors U20
Matches Played 11 11
Wins 7 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 3 1
Goals Scored 2 1.64
Goals Conceded 1 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2023 Copa Libertadores U20
Penarol U20 vs Boca Juniors U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Boca Juniors U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol U20 32 / 100
Boca Juniors U20 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol U20 Boca Juniors U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol U20's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Recent resilience: Penarol U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Boca Juniors U20 let in goals in 36% of their last 11 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Penarol U20 VS Boca Juniors U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol U20

(Home)
16 Jul
Penarol U20
2 : 3
Cerro Porteno U20
13 Jul
Penarol U20
0 : 1
Boca Juniors U20
07 Jul
O'Higgins U20
1 : 2
Penarol U20
04 Jul
Penarol U20
4 : 1
Alianza Lima U20
01 Jul
Penarol U20
5 : 1
Caracas U20
Page 1 of 3

Boca Juniors U20

(Away)
17 Mar
Boca Juniors U20
1 : 2
Flamengo RJ U20
14 Mar
Boca Juniors U20
2 : 1
Aucas U20
08 Mar
Boca Juniors U20
2 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello U20
05 Mar
Colo Colo U20
0 : 0
Boca Juniors U20
02 Mar
Boca Juniors U20
4 : 0
Always Ready U20
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Penarol U20 0
Boca Juniors U20 1
Independiente del Valle U20 1
Cerro Porteno U20 0
Final
Boca Juniors U20 2
Independiente del Valle U20 0
Penarol U20 2
Cerro Porteno U20 3