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Penarol vs Amazonas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2022
Penarol Logo

Penarol

1 - 0
FT
Amazonas Logo

Amazonas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amazonense 2022 game between Penarol and Amazonas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penarol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Penarol
30%
Draws
52%
Amazonas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amazonas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Penarol have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Amazonas are scoring more at 1.1.
  • Model gives Amazonas a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Amazonense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol Amazonas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 Amazonense
Penarol vs Amazonas
1:0
Mar 25, 2021 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Penarol
1:0
Feb 23, 2021 Amazonense
Penarol vs Amazonas
3:0
Mar 18, 2020 Amazonense
Penarol vs Amazonas
0:0
Feb 1, 2020 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Penarol
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol 10 / 100
Amazonas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol Amazonas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amazonas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Amazonas let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Penarol remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penarol VS Amazonas
1 Goals Scored 0.63
4.67 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
30 Aug
Penarol
2 : 9
RB do Norte
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 5
Fast Clube
21 Aug
Cliper
1 : 2
Penarol
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3
Manicore
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Penarol
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Amazonas

(Away)
29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Princesa do Solimoes 11 7 4 0 27:5 25
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 11 7 2 2 21:5 23
3 Manaus FC 11 6 4 1 27:9 22
4 Fast Clube 11 5 5 1 18:7 20
5 Amazonas 11 5 3 3 17:8 18
6 Manauara 11 5 3 3 15:11 18
7 Iranduba 11 4 5 2 15:9 17
8 Operario Esporte Clube 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
9 Sao Raimundo AM 11 3 1 7 23:16 10
10 Cliper 11 2 1 8 13:43 7
11 Penarol 11 1 2 8 5:27 5
12 Itacoatiara 11 0 2 9 4:44 2
Promotion - Campeonato Amazonense 2022 (Play Offs)