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Penarol vs Amazonas

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Campeonato Amazonense 2022
Penarol Logo

Penarol

1 - 0
FT
Amazonas Logo

Amazonas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amazonense 2022 game between Penarol and Amazonas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penarol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Penarol
20%
Draws
29%
Amazonas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Penarol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Penarol haven't matched Amazonas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Penarol a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Amazonense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Penarol Clean Sheet 13%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol Amazonas
Matches Played 29 43
Wins 11 22
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 Amazonense
Penarol vs Amazonas
1:0
Mar 25, 2021 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Penarol
1:0
Feb 23, 2021 Amazonense
Penarol vs Amazonas
3:0
Mar 18, 2020 Amazonense
Penarol vs Amazonas
0:0
Feb 1, 2020 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Penarol
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol 39 / 100
Amazonas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol Amazonas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Penarol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Amazonas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Amazonas conceded in 53% of 43 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Penarol VS Amazonas
0.33 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
31 Jul
Unidos do Alvorada
6 : 1
Penarol
29 Jun
Penarol
1 : 2
Itacoatiara
22 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 2
Penarol
15 Jun
Penarol
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
30 May
Manicore
1 : 1
Penarol
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Amazonas

(Away)
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
30 Jun
Volta Redonda
3 : 0
Amazonas
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1
Amazonas
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Princesa do Solimoes 11 7 4 0 27:5 25
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 11 7 2 2 21:5 23
3 Manaus FC 11 6 4 1 27:9 22
4 Fast Clube 11 5 5 1 18:7 20
5 Amazonas 11 5 3 3 17:8 18
6 Manauara 11 5 3 3 15:11 18
7 Iranduba 11 4 5 2 15:9 17
8 Operario Esporte Clube 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
9 Sao Raimundo AM 11 3 1 7 23:16 10
10 Cliper 11 2 1 8 13:43 7
11 Penarol 11 1 2 8 5:27 5
12 Itacoatiara 11 0 2 9 4:44 2
Promotion - Campeonato Amazonense 2022 (Play Offs)