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Penarol vs Fast Clube

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2
Penarol Logo

Penarol

1 - 5
FT
Fast Clube Logo

Fast Clube

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ivanzinho
47' Event
Castro R.
50' Event
Railan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 game between Penarol and Fast Clube finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fast Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Penarol
15%
Draws
69%
Fast Clube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fast Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fast Clube come out ahead of Penarol on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fast Clube a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Amazonense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%
Fast Clube Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol Fast Clube
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 10 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.97 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Amazonense 2
Penarol vs Fast Clube
1:5
Jan 30, 2022 Amazonense
Fast Clube vs Penarol
1:1
Aug 22, 2021 Serie D
Penarol vs Fast Clube
2:1
Jun 19, 2021 Serie D
Fast Clube vs Penarol
3:2
Mar 27, 2021 Amazonense
Fast Clube vs Penarol
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Franca D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fast Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Railan
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanzinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol 10 / 100
Fast Clube 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol Fast Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fast Clube Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Penarol scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Fast Clube conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

Penarol has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penarol VS Fast Clube
1 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
30 Aug
Penarol
2 : 9
RB do Norte
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 5
Fast Clube
21 Aug
Cliper
1 : 2
Penarol
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3
Manicore
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Penarol
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Fast Clube

(Away)
09 Sept
RB do Norte
0 : 1
Fast Clube
04 Sept
Fast Clube
2 : 1
Operario Esporte Clube
30 Aug
Fast Clube
2 : 0
Operario Esporte Clube
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 5
Fast Clube
23 Aug
Manicore
1 : 1
Fast Clube
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB do Norte 6 5 1 0 23:6 16
2 Fast Clube 6 4 2 0 16:4 14
3 Operario Esporte Clube 6 4 0 2 23:5 12
4 Manicore 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
5 Cliper 6 1 0 5 10:23 3
6 Unidos do Alvorada 6 1 0 5 12:27 3
7 Penarol 6 1 0 5 6:28 3
Promotion - Amazonense 2 (Play Offs)