Sport Picks
Penarol vs Itacoatiara
Brazil
Amazonense 2 2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Itacoatiara advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Penarol carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Penarol have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Itacoatiara, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penarol | Itacoatiara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 2.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.99 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penarol Compare
Itacoatiara Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Itacoatiara conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Penarol scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Itacoatiara has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
