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Penarol vs Manauara

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2022
Penarol Logo

Penarol

0 - 3
FT
Manauara Logo

Manauara

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amazonense 2022 game between Penarol and Manauara finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manauara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Penarol
15%
Draws
65%
Manauara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manauara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Manauara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Manauara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%
Manauara Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol Manauara
Matches Played 28 45
Wins 10 22
Draws 4 15
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.78
Goals Conceded 2 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.42 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2022 Amazonense
Penarol vs Manauara
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol 10 / 100
Manauara 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol Manauara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manauara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Penarol scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Manauara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 45 matches.

Solid form: Penarol remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penarol VS Manauara
0.2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.6 Goals Conceded 0.63
60% Over 1.5 50%
60% Over 2.5 25%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3
Manicore
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Penarol
31 Jul
Unidos do Alvorada
6 : 1
Penarol
29 Jun
Penarol
1 : 2
Itacoatiara
22 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 2
Penarol
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Manauara

(Away)
12 Jul
Manauara
1 : 3
Goiatuba EC
04 Jul
Goiatuba EC
0 : 1
Manauara
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Manauara
1 : 0
Sao Raimundo RR
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Princesa do Solimoes 11 7 4 0 27:5 25
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 11 7 2 2 21:5 23
3 Manaus FC 11 6 4 1 27:9 22
4 Fast Clube 11 5 5 1 18:7 20
5 Amazonas 11 5 3 3 17:8 18
6 Manauara 11 5 3 3 15:11 18
7 Iranduba 11 4 5 2 15:9 17
8 Operario Esporte Clube 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
9 Sao Raimundo AM 11 3 1 7 23:16 10
10 Cliper 11 2 1 8 13:43 7
11 Penarol 11 1 2 8 5:27 5
12 Itacoatiara 11 0 2 9 4:44 2
Promotion - Campeonato Amazonense 2022 (Play Offs)