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Penarol vs Manicore

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2
Thu, Aug 13, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penarol host Manicore in the Amazonense 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Manicore have shipped 3.17 goals a game lately, while Penarol have conceded 1.83 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Penarol slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2025, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.00) back Penarol to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Penarol
20%
Draws
47%
Manicore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manicore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Penarol have won more games recently than Manicore.
  • Manicore are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Penarol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Penarol Clean Sheet 20%
Manicore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol Manicore
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.83 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 Amazonense 2
Manicore vs Penarol
1:1
Mar 18, 2018 Amazonense
Penarol vs Manicore
3:2
Apr 18, 2012 Amazonense
Manicore vs Penarol
1:2
Feb 1, 2012 Amazonense
Penarol vs Manicore
2:1
Mar 14, 2010 Amazonense
Penarol vs Manicore
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol 12 / 100
Manicore 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol Manicore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manicore has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Penarol found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Penarol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penarol VS Manicore
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
31 Jul
Unidos do Alvorada
6 : 1
Penarol
29 Jun
Penarol
1 : 2
Itacoatiara
22 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 2
Penarol
15 Jun
Penarol
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
30 May
Manicore
1 : 1
Penarol
Page 1 of 6

Manicore

(Away)
06 Aug
Unidos do Alvorada
1 : 6
Manicore
29 Jul
Manicore
3 : 2
Cliper
23 Jun
Taruma
1 : 1
Manicore
12 Jun
Manicore
2 : 1
RB do Norte
06 Jun
Unidos do Alvorada
2 : 1
Manicore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manicore 2 2 0 0 9:3 6
2 RB do Norte 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
3 Unidos do Alvorada 2 1 0 1 7:7 3
4 Fast Clube 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Operario Esporte Clube 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Cliper 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
7 Penarol 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 (Play Offs)