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Penarol vs Manicore - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2
Penarol Logo

Penarol

0 - 3
FT
Manicore Logo

Manicore

Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Fonseca A.
82' Event
Metellus A.
90' Event
Metellus A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manicore in this Amazonense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manicore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Penarol
15%
Draws
49%
Manicore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manicore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Penarol have won more games recently than Manicore.
  • Manicore are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%
Manicore Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol Manicore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.37 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Amazonense 2
Penarol vs Manicore
0:3
May 30, 2025 Amazonense 2
Manicore vs Penarol
1:1
Mar 18, 2018 Amazonense
Penarol vs Manicore
3:2
Apr 18, 2012 Amazonense
Manicore vs Penarol
1:2
Feb 1, 2012 Amazonense
Penarol vs Manicore
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Manicore Compare

Top Goalscorer Metellus A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fonseca A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol 10 / 100
Manicore 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol Manicore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manicore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Manicore conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Penarol found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Manicore has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Penarol VS Manicore
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol

(Home)
30 Aug
Penarol
2 : 9
RB do Norte
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 5
Fast Clube
21 Aug
Cliper
1 : 2
Penarol
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3
Manicore
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Penarol
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Manicore

(Away)
05 Sept
RB do Norte
1 : 0
Manicore
26 Aug
Manicore
1 : 3
RB do Norte
23 Aug
Manicore
1 : 1
Fast Clube
15 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Manicore
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3
Manicore
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB do Norte 6 5 1 0 23:6 16
2 Fast Clube 6 4 2 0 16:4 14
3 Operario Esporte Clube 6 4 0 2 23:5 12
4 Manicore 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
5 Cliper 6 1 0 5 10:23 3
6 Unidos do Alvorada 6 1 0 5 12:27 3
7 Penarol 6 1 0 5 6:28 3
Promotion - Amazonense 2 (Play Offs)