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Penarol W vs Colo Colo W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2019 Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Olave I.
70' Event
Viana L.
77' Event
Viana L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Libertadores Women 2019 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penarol W
15%
Draws
85%
Colo Colo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colo Colo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Colo Colo W have won more games recently than Penarol W.
  • Model gives Colo Colo W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Colo Colo W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%
Colo Colo W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol W Colo Colo W
Matches Played 16 36
Wins 1 32
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 0.69 3.67
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2019 Copa Libertadores Women
Penarol W vs Colo Colo W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viana L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Colo Colo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olave I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hidalgo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 10 / 100
Colo Colo W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol W Colo Colo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colo Colo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Penarol W's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Colo Colo W has conceded goals in 19% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Colo Colo W
1 Goals Scored 3.38
3 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

(Home)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Penarol W
19 Oct
Penarol W
1 : 2
Gimnasia L.P. W
16 Oct
Gremio W
2 : 0
Penarol W
10 Oct
Independiente del Valle W
2 : 0
Penarol W
Page 1 of 4

Colo Colo W

(Away)
04 Oct
Colo Colo W
4 : 0
Deportes Iquique W
25 Sept
Deportes Iquique W
0 : 6
Colo Colo W
03 Sept
Colo Colo W
4 : 0
Deportes Iquique W
29 Aug
Magallanes W
0 : 6
Colo Colo W
22 Aug
Recoleta W
0 : 9
Colo Colo W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huila W 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Cerro Porteno W 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Penarol W 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Colo Colo W 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cuenca W 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Ferroviaria W 3 2 0 1 15:4 6
3 Estudiantes de Caracas W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Mundo Futuro W 3 0 0 3 2:17 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 America de Cali W 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Libertad Limpeno W 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Nanas W 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UAI Urquiza W 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 S. Morning W 3 1 2 0 8:3 5
3 Ind. Medellin W 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
4 Municipalidad De Majes W 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2019 (Play Offs)