Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Penarol W vs Gimnasia L.P. W

South America South America

Brasil Ladies Cup Women 2025 Estadio do Caninde
Sun, Oct 19, 2025
1 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Gaetan F.
82' Event
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Brasil Ladies Cup Women 2025 game between Penarol W and Gimnasia L.P. W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia L.P. W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Penarol W
6%
Draws
90%
Gimnasia L.P. W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gimnasia L.P. W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gimnasia L.P. W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gimnasia L.P. W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%
Gimnasia L.P. W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol W Gimnasia L.P. W
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 1 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.67 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Brasil Ladies Cup Women
Penarol W vs Gimnasia L.P. W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penarol W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gimnasia L.P. W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaetan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 10 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol W Gimnasia L.P. W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gimnasia L.P. W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Penarol W scored in 50% of their last 16 games.

Difficult form: Gimnasia L.P. W registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Gimnasia L.P. W
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Gremio W2
Penarol W0
Palmeiras W3
Gimnasia L.P. W2
Final
Gremio W2
Palmeiras W4
Penarol W1
Gimnasia L.P. W2