Sport Picks

Penarol W vs Itapuense W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women

Penarol W

3 - 2

Itapuense W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Penarol W in this Brasileiro A3 Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penarol W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Penarol W

15%

Draws

36%

Itapuense W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penarol W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence

Penarol W have won more games recently than Itapuense W.
36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Brasileiro A3 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Penarol W Clean Sheet 16%

Itapuense W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Penarol W	Itapuense W
Matches Played	30	11
Wins	19	5
Draws	2	1
Losses	9	5
Goals Scored	2.73	3.18
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Brasileiro A3 Women

Itapuense W vs Penarol W

2:3

Apr 5, 2026 Brasileiro A3 Women

Penarol W vs Itapuense W

3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 31 / 100

Itapuense W 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Penarol W Itapuense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itapuense W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Itapuense W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 11 outings.

Difficult form: Itapuense W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Itapuense W

2.38 Goals Scored 2

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

(Home)

22 Aug

Penarol W

6 : 2

Amazonas Legis W

11 Aug

3B da Amazonia W

9 : 1

Penarol W

07 Aug

Penarol W

0 : 3

Taruma W

31 May

Penarol W

1 : 1

Pantanal W

17 May

Pantanal W

4 : 1

Penarol W

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Itapuense W

(Away)

02 May

Rolim de Moura W

2 : 0

Itapuense W

28 Apr

Araguari W

5 : 2

Itapuense W

25 Apr

Itapuense W

1 : 0

Galvez W

18 Apr

Itapuense W

2 : 3

Penarol W

05 Apr

Penarol W

3 : 2

Itapuense W

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