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Penarol W vs Pantanal W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Penarol W
20%
Draws
51%
Pantanal W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pantanal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Penarol W have won more games recently than Pantanal W.
  • Pantanal W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Penarol W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 16%
Pantanal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penarol W Pantanal W
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 19 4
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.73 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Brasileiro A3 Women
Penarol W vs Pantanal W
1:1
May 17, 2026 Brasileiro A3 Women
Pantanal W vs Penarol W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penarol W 10 / 100
Pantanal W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penarol W Pantanal W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pantanal W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pantanal W conceded in 82% of 11 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Penarol W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penarol W VS Pantanal W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penarol W

(Home)
22 Aug
Penarol W
6 : 2
Amazonas Legis W
11 Aug
3B da Amazonia W
9 : 1
Penarol W
07 Aug
Penarol W
0 : 3
Taruma W
31 May
Penarol W
1 : 1
Pantanal W
17 May
Pantanal W
4 : 1
Penarol W
Page 1 of 6

Pantanal W

(Away)
09 Aug
Planalto EC W
1 : 0
Pantanal W
01 Aug
Pantanal W
0 : 1
Planalto EC W
31 May
Penarol W
1 : 1
Pantanal W
17 May
Pantanal W
4 : 1
Penarol W
02 May
Cresspom W
0 : 2
Pantanal W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Realidade Jovem W 6
Criciuma W 2
Coritiba W 3
Heips W 0
Planalto EC W 7
Rolim de Moura W 0
Penarol W 2
Pantanal W 5
Juventude W 3
R4 EC W 1
Uniao RN W 1
Prosperidade W 2
Tiradentes PA W 3
Sampaio Correa W 2
Sao Joao PI W 5
Portuguesa AP W 6
Quarter-finals
Realidade Jovem W 3
Coritiba W 2
Planalto EC W 2
Pantanal W 0
Juventude W 4
Prosperidade W 1
Tiradentes PA W 4
Portuguesa AP W 8
Semi-finals
Realidade Jovem W 1
Planalto EC W 4
Juventude W 3
Portuguesa AP W 0
Final
Planalto EC W 2
Juventude W 0