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Peninsula U23 vs Magic United TFA FC U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Peninsula U23 play Magic United TFA FC U23 in the NPL Queensland U23. Peninsula U23 are favorites here. Recently, Peninsula U23 averaged 2 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Magic United TFA FC U23 averaged 0.71 goals scored and 3.35 conceded. In past meetings, Peninsula U23 won 1, Magic United TFA FC U23 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Peninsula U23 and 1.81 for Magic United TFA FC U23. This points to a Peninsula U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Peninsula U23
15%
Draws
17%
Magic United TFA FC U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peninsula U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Peninsula U23 picked up more points recently compared to Magic United TFA FC U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Peninsula U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Magic United TFA FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peninsula U23 Magic United TFA FC U23
Matches Played 17 17
Wins 6 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2 0.71
Goals Conceded 2.47 3.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Peninsula U23 vs Magic United TFA FC U23
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Magic United TFA FC U23 vs Peninsula U23
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peninsula U23 63 / 100
Magic United TFA FC U23 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peninsula U23 Magic United TFA FC U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peninsula U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Peninsula U23 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Peninsula U23 attacking → ← attacking Magic United TFA FC U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peninsula U23 scored in 82% of their last 17 games.

Magic United TFA FC U23 let in goals in 100% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Peninsula U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Magic United TFA FC U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 7
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Queensland Lions U2317114244:1837
2Rochedale U2317112446:2335
3Gold Coast Knights SC U2316101542:2731
4Moreton City Excelsior U231692542:2329
5Eastern Suburbs U231792637:2229
6Olympic FC U231772830:3323
7Gold Coast U231672734:3923
8Peninsula U231762934:4220
9QLD State Team U171661935:4319
10Brisbane City U231753934:4718
11Wynnum Wolves U2317521025:4117
12Magic United TFA FC U2317211412:577