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Peninsula vs Magic United TFA FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Miyazawa H.
27' Event
Cross M.
60' Event
Joseph N.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Peninsula and Magic United TFA FC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Peninsula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Peninsula
20%
Draws
51%
Magic United TFA FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Magic United TFA FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Magic United TFA FC's 1.9 goals per match outpaces what Peninsula have produced (1.87).
  • Win probability leans Magic United TFA FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Peninsula Clean Sheet 11%
Magic United TFA FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peninsula Magic United TFA FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 1
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.87 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Queensland
Peninsula vs Magic United TFA FC
3:2
Feb 28, 2026 NPL Queensland
Magic United TFA FC vs Peninsula
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peninsula Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyazawa H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Magic United TFA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cross M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lane H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peninsula 10 / 100
Magic United TFA FC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peninsula Magic United TFA FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magic United TFA FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peninsula found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Magic United TFA FC has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Peninsula stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peninsula VS Magic United TFA FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Peninsula

(Home)
12 Sept
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Peninsula
05 Sept
Peninsula
3 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
30 Aug
Queensland Lions
4 : 1
Peninsula
14 Aug
Peninsula
2 : 2
Brisbane City
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
Page 1 of 6

Magic United TFA FC

(Away)
14 Aug
Wynnum Wolves
0 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
2 : 1
Rochedale
02 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
0 : 3
Olympic FC
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4
Magic United TFA FC
11 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)