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Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Goytre Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

League Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Davies B.
21' Event
Williams K.
31' Event
Watts K.

AI Match Summary

Goytre Utd in this League Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
15%
Draws
34%
Goytre Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penrhiwceiber Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Penrhiwceiber Rangers have won more games recently than Goytre Utd.
  • Penrhiwceiber Rangers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Penrhiwceiber Rangers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Goytre Utd, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Goytre Utd have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Clean Sheet 17%
Goytre Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhiwceiber Rangers Goytre Utd
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.45 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2025 Cymru South
Goytre Utd vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Cymru South
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Goytre Utd
1:5
Jul 20, 2024 League Cup
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Goytre Utd
1:4
Apr 6, 2011 Division 1
Goytre Utd vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
3:1
Sep 4, 2010 Division 1
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Goytre Utd
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhiwceiber Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Goytre Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Williams K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 84 / 100
Goytre Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Goytre Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penrhiwceiber Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre Utd let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penrhiwceiber Rangers VS Goytre Utd
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhiwceiber Rangers

(Home)
22 Nov
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0 : 3
Gresford
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
7 : 0
Pentwynmawr Ath
11 Jul
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
5 : 3
Newport City
05 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Goytre Utd

(Away)
04 Jul
Goytre Utd
1 : 2
Barry Town
17 Oct
Goytre Utd
0 : 6
Cambrian United
20 Sept
Goytre Utd
2 : 1
Ammanford Town
15 Jul
Ton Pentre
1 : 2
Goytre Utd
28 Jun
Goytre Utd
2 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Prestatyn 1
Buckley 5
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Llandudno FC 3
Newport 0
Penrhyncoch 0
Guilsfield 3
Cardiff U21 3
Afan Lido 1
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Taffs Well 1
Merthyr Town 3
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Llantwit Major 2
Newport City 0
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
Goytre Utd 4
Caerau Ely 2
Trefelin 1
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Baglan Dragons 2
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town 2
Cambrian United 1
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Flint Mountain 0
Gresford 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Mold Alexandra 2
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town -
Ruthin Town 2
Bangor 1876 1
TBD -
Bala -
Caersws FC 0
Holywell Town FC 1
Llay Welfare 3
Denbigh 1
1/16-finals
Buckley 0
Connahs Q. 3
Newtown 2
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Aberystwyth 2
Llandudno FC 3
Guilsfield 2
Cardiff U21 3
Pontypridd United 1
Merthyr Town 2
Ammanford Town 0
Llantwit Major 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Goytre Utd 3
Caerau Ely 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Baglan Dragons 1
Barry Town 2
Llanelli 1
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 0
Haverfordwest 5
Gresford 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
TNS 5
Flint Town 1
Ruthin Town 0
Bala 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llay Welfare 1
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 3
Caernarfon 2
Aberystwyth 3
Llandudno FC 2
Cardiff U21 2
Merthyr Town 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 9
Goytre Utd 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Barry Town 4
Penybont 1
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
TNS 1
Bala 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Quarter-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Aberystwyth 2
Cardiff U21 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Barry Town 3
Penybont 2
TNS 3
Bala 1
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Cardiff U21 1
Barry Town 1
TNS 2
Final
Aberystwyth 0
TNS 1