Sport Picks
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Gresford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
28'
28'
Hesp A.
31'
31'
Ozlu H.
45'
45'
Ozlu H.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Gresford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gresford come out ahead of Penrhiwceiber Rangers on wins alone.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Penrhiwceiber Rangers taking it.
- Gresford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gresford, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Clean Sheet 19%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penrhiwceiber Rangers | Gresford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Gresford
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Gresford Compare
Top Goalscorer Hesp A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ozlu H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 85 / 100
Gresford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Gresford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Penrhiwceiber Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Gresford conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Penrhiwceiber Rangers scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Gresford
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
(Home) 22 Nov
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0 : 3 Gresford
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
7 : 0 Pentwynmawr Ath
11 Jul
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
5 : 3 Newport City
05 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 0 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Page 1 of 6
22 Nov
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0 : 3 Gresford
20 Sept
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
7 : 0 Pentwynmawr Ath
11 Jul
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
5 : 3 Newport City
05 Apr
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
1 : 1 Ammanford Town
22 Mar
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0 : 0 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 3
Gresford
(Away) 03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Gresford
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1 Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1 Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5 Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0 Gresford
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Gresford
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1 Gresford
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0 Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0 Gresford
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0 Gresford
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
