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Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Newport City

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Penrhiwceiber Rangers and Newport City finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penrhiwceiber Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
6%
Draws
4%
Newport City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Penrhiwceiber Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Penrhiwceiber Rangers have managed 0 goals a game lately — Newport City are scoring more at 1.
  • Penrhiwceiber Rangers are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Penrhiwceiber Rangers have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
Newport City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhiwceiber Rangers Newport City
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Newport City
5:3
Oct 25, 2024 Cymru South
Newport City vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
1:3
Aug 26, 2024 Cymru South
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Newport City
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhiwceiber Rangers 85 / 100
Newport City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Newport City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Newport City conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Newport City
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhiwceiber Rangers

(Home)
22 Nov
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0 : 3
Gresford
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
7 : 0
Pentwynmawr Ath
11 Jul
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
5 : 3
Newport City
05 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
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Newport City

(Away)
08 Jul
Newport City
0 : 5
Newport
26 Jun
Cambrian United
1 : 0
Newport City
18 Apr
Newport City
0 : 5
Trefelin
03 Apr
Ammanford Town
4 : 0
Newport City
28 Mar
Cardiff Draconians
0 : 1
Newport City
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