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Penrhyncoch vs Bala

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penrhyncoch host Bala in the Cymru North. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Bala have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Penrhyncoch have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.75. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.25) point toward Penrhyncoch. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
34%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penrhyncoch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Bala haven't matched Penrhyncoch's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Penrhyncoch's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 19%
Bala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Bala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 58 / 100
Bala 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyncoch's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bala let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Penrhyncoch went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bala's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Bala
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3
Porthmadog
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0
Rhyl
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2
Penrhyncoch
03 Apr
Denbigh
1 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

Bala

(Away)
31 Jul
Bangor 1876
1 : 2
Bala
27 Jun
Bala
0 : 4
Colwyn Bay
18 Apr
Bala
1 : 2
Briton Ferry
03 Apr
Llanelli
0 : 5
Bala
28 Mar
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 1
Bala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Newtown 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Denbigh 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4 Porthmadog 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Holyhead 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Bala 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Caersws FC 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Mold Alexandra 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Guilsfield 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Rhyl 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Ruthin Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Bangor 1876 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Buckley 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
14 Penrhyncoch 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Gresford 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Llanuwchllyn 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)