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Penrhyncoch vs Bala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Abadaki O.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Penrhyncoch and Bala finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
85%
Bala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Penrhyncoch have managed 1.28 goals a game lately — Bala are scoring more at 1.48.
  • Win probability leans Bala's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bala have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Bala Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Bala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Bala
0:1
Mar 11, 2009 Cymru Alliance
Penrhyncoch vs Bala
0:2
Aug 19, 2008 Cymru Alliance
Bala vs Penrhyncoch
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bala Compare

Top Goalscorer Abadaki O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
Bala 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Bala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyncoch scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Bala let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Bala registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Bala
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

Bala

(Away)
03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3
Bala
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)