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Penrhyncoch vs Bangor 1876 Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
McManus D.
7' Event
McGonigle C.
10' Event
McGonigle C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Penrhyncoch and Bangor 1876 finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bangor 1876.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
85%
Bangor 1876
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangor 1876

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bangor 1876's 2.03 goals per match outpaces what Penrhyncoch have produced (1.35).
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bangor 1876 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Bangor 1876
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 1
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.35 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Bangor 1876
1:5
Feb 8, 2025 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Penrhyncoch
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Bangor 1876
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Kellaway G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bangor 1876 Compare

Top Goalscorer McGonigle C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader McManus D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
Bangor 1876 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Bangor 1876

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangor 1876 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor 1876's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Penrhyncoch's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Bangor 1876 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Bangor 1876
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 7

Bangor 1876

(Away)
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Bangor 1876
2 : 1
Brickfield Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 9 8 0 1 23:4 24
2 Mold Alexandra 9 6 2 1 23:11 20
3 Newtown 8 6 1 1 16:2 19
4 Bala 9 6 0 3 17:14 18
5 Porthmadog 9 5 2 2 16:11 17
6 Caersws FC 8 5 1 2 18:11 16
7 Bangor 1876 9 5 1 3 23:17 16
8 Guilsfield 9 3 4 2 15:12 13
9 Buckley 9 3 2 4 21:16 11
10 Llanuwchllyn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
11 Rhyl 8 2 3 3 15:16 9
12 Denbigh 9 2 1 6 16:19 7
13 Ruthin Town 9 2 1 6 8:19 7
14 Holyhead 8 1 1 6 7:16 4
15 Gresford 8 1 1 6 5:21 4
16 Penrhyncoch 9 0 1 8 4:29 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)