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Penrhyncoch vs Cardiff Corries

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2019/2020
Sat, Oct 19, 2019
2 - 1
01:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Penrhyncoch advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Penrhyncoch
20%
Draws
64%
Cardiff Corries
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardiff Corries

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Penrhyncoch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cardiff Corries's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Penrhyncoch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Penrhyncoch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 20%
Cardiff Corries Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Cardiff Corries
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.37 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 FAW Welsh Cup
Penrhyncoch vs Cardiff Corries
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 24 / 100
Cardiff Corries 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Cardiff Corries

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Corries Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Corries let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Penrhyncoch scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Cardiff Corries registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Cardiff Corries
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2
Denbigh
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff Corries

(Away)
30 Jun
Caerau Ely
0 : 0
Cardiff Corries
17 Jun
Caerau Ely
6 : 0
Cardiff Corries
19 Oct
Cardiff Corries
3 : 4
Afan Lido
21 Sept
Cardiff Corries
4 : 1
Risca United
15 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 2
Cardiff Corries
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
Builth 2
Ton Pentre 3
Garden Village 1
Goytre Utd 3
Cefn Cribwr 2
Tredegar Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Llannefydd 3
Guilsfield 2
Brymbo 1
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Pontardawe 3
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Holyhead 4
Montgomery 2
Blaenau 0
Buckley 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 3
Penparcau FC 1
Trefelin 2
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 3
Monmouth 1
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Aberaeron 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Llandudno FC 3
Mynydd Isa 3
Llanfair United 5
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanberis FC 0
Porthmadog 7
Coedpoeth 0
Gresford 5
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 3
Caerau Ely 1
Llantwit Major 0
Llandrindod 1
Greenfield 3
Caersws FC 1
Flint Town 9
Four Crosses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Corwen 2
Colwyn Bay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Briton Ferry 2
Undy 3
Pure Swansea 4
Caerleon 1
Haverfordwest 5
Penlan Club 3
Cambrian United 7
Ynyshir Albions 3
Llanelli 2
Cwmamman United 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Cardiff Corries 1
Nefyn United 0
Bangor City 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Prestatyn 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterloo Rovers 1
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberffraw 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 4
Penycae FC 3
Conwy Borough 1
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 2
Llangefni 0
Prestatyn Sports 2
Queens Park 3
Chepstow Town 3
Taffs Well 2
Cwmaman Institute 2
STM Sports 6
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 3
Ton Pentre 1
Goytre Utd 6
Cefn Cribwr 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Llannefydd 1
Guilsfield 5
Pontardawe 6
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Holyhead 0
Buckley 3
Abertillery Bluebirds 4
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Llandudno FC 4
Llanfair United 1
Penybont -
TBD -
Porthmadog 4
Gresford 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Llandrindod 0
Greenfield 1
Flint Town 3
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 0
Colwyn Bay 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Undy 5
Pure Swansea 6
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 2
Llanelli 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Bangor City 0
Prestatyn 3
TNS -
TBD -
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 0
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 3
Queens Park 0
Chepstow Town 0
STM Sports 5
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town 0
Ammanford Town 4
Goytre Utd 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Guilsfield 0
Pontardawe 3
Buckley 1
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Connahs Q. 3
Afan Lido 5
Llandudno FC 1
Penybont 6
Porthmadog 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 2
Bala 0
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Pure Swansea 3
Cambrian United 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Prestatyn 2
TNS 9
Mold Alexandra 0
Aberystwyth 2
Ruthin Town 1
Barry Town 0
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
STM Sports 0
1/8-finals
Ammanford Town 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Pontardawe 0
Connahs Q. 8
Afan Lido 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Pure Swansea 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 4
Aberystwyth 0
Newtown 4
Rhyl 1
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 0
Connahs Q. 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 6
Newtown 1
Semi-finals
Caernarfon -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Prestatyn -
TNS -
Final
TBD -
TBD -