Sport Picks
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru North 
Match Events
21'
21'
Davies R.
49'
49'
Brown N.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Michalski J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denbigh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Penrhyncoch have won more games recently than Denbigh.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Denbigh taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Denbigh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh
2:2
Apr 3, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Penrhyncoch
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Penrhyncoch
3:0
Aug 26, 2024 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Penrhyncoch Compare
Top Goalscorer Davies R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Michalski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Denbigh Compare
Top Goalscorer Kelly T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
Denbigh 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Penrhyncoch Denbigh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Denbigh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Denbigh conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Penrhyncoch scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Difficult form: Denbigh registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Penrhyncoch VS Denbigh
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Penrhyncoch
(Home) 03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Gresford
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2 Denbigh
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3 Porthmadog
Page 1 of 3
Denbigh
(Away) 02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4 Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2 Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0 Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3 Rhyl
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Denbigh
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0 Denbigh
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2 Denbigh
14 Aug
Ruthin Town
2 : 1 Denbigh
01 Aug
Buckley
2 : 4 Denbigh
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18:3 | 22 |
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bala | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor 1876 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | 9 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:23 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
