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Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Penrhyncoch host Denbigh in the Cymru North. This one's hard to separate. Penrhyncoch have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Denbigh's 1.73 scored and 2.09 conceded. Past meetings favor Denbigh slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.25, favoring Denbigh. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Penrhyncoch
15%
Draws
34%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penrhyncoch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Denbigh have won more games recently than Penrhyncoch.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Penrhyncoch taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 19%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Penrhyncoch Denbigh
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Penrhyncoch
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Penrhyncoch
3:0
Aug 26, 2024 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh
4:2
Jan 26, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Penrhyncoch vs Denbigh
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Penrhyncoch 76 / 100
Denbigh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Penrhyncoch Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penrhyncoch found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Denbigh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Penrhyncoch has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Penrhyncoch VS Denbigh
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Penrhyncoch

(Home)
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3
Porthmadog
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0
Rhyl
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

Denbigh

(Away)
08 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 2
Bangor 1876
01 Aug
Buckley
2 : 4
Denbigh
17 Jul
Denbigh
0 : 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC
03 Jul
Colwyn Bay
1 : 2
Denbigh
18 Apr
Caersws FC
6 : 0
Denbigh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newtown 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Brickfield Rangers 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
3 Porthmadog 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
4 Bala 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
5 Guilsfield 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Caersws FC 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
7 Denbigh 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
8 Holyhead 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Bangor 1876 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Llanuwchllyn 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
11 Mold Alexandra 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
12 Rhyl 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Ruthin Town 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
14 Buckley 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
15 Gresford 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
16 Penrhyncoch 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)